-
出版商:
INFAROM
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出版日期:
2006-08-26
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售價:
$1,580
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貴賓價:
9.5 折
$1,501
-
語言:
英文
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頁數:
296
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裝訂:
Paperback
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ISBN:
9738752035
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ISBN-13:
9789738752030
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商品描述
Over the past two decades, gamblers have begun taking mathematics into account more seriously than ever before. While probability theory is the only rigorous theory modeling the uncertainty, even though in idealized conditions, numerical probabilities are viewed not only as mere mathematical information, but also as a decision-making criterion, especially in gambling. This book presents the mathematics underlying the major games of chance and provides a precise account of the odds associated with all gaming events. It begins by explaining in simple terms the meaning of the concept of probability for the layman and goes on to become an enlightening journey through the mathematics of chance, randomness and risk. It then continues with the basics of discrete probability (definitions, properties, theorems and calculus formulas), combinatorics and counting arguments for those interested in the supporting mathematics. These mathematic sections may be skipped by readers who do not have a minimal background in mathematics; these readers can skip directly to the “Guide to Numerical Results” to pick the odds and recommendations they need for the desired gaming situation. Doing so is possible due to the organization of that chapter, in which the results are listed at the end of each section, mostly in the form of tables. The chapter titled “The Mathematics of Games of Chance” presents these games not only as a good application field for probability theory, but also in terms of human actions where probability-based strategies can be tried to achieve favorable results. Through suggestive examples, the reader can see what are the experiments, events and probability fields in games of chance and how probability calculus works there. The main portion of this work is a collection of probability results for each type of game. Each game’s section is packed with formulas and tables. Each section also contains a description of the game, a classification of the gaming events and the applicable probability calculations. The primary goal of this work is to allow the reader to quickly find the odds for a specific gaming situation, in order to improve his or her betting/gaming decisions. Every type of gaming event is tabulated in a logical, consistent and comprehensive manner. The complete methodology and complete or partial calculations are shown to teach players how to calculate probability for any situation, for every stage of the game for any game. Here, readers can find the real odds, returned by precise mathematical formulas and not by partial simulations that most software uses. Collections of odds are presented, as well as strategic recommendations based on those odds, where necessary, for each type of gaming situation. The book contains much new and original material that has not been published previously and provides great coverage of probabilities for the following games of chance: Dice, Slots, Roulette, Baccarat, Blackjack, Texas Hold’em Poker, Lottery and Sport Bets. Most of games of chance are predisposed to probability-based decisions. This is why the approach is not an exclusively statistical one (like many other titles published on this subject), but analytical: every gaming event is taken as an individual applied probability problem to solve. A special chapter defines the probability-based strategy and mathematically shows why such strategy is theoretically optimal.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
在過去的二十年中,賭徒們開始比以往任何時候都更認真地考慮數學。雖然概率論是唯一一個嚴謹的理論來建模不確定性,即使在理想化的條件下,數值概率不僅被視為純粹的數學信息,還被視為決策標準,尤其是在賭博中。本書介紹了主要機會遊戲背後的數學,並提供了與所有遊戲事件相關的賠率的精確說明。它首先用簡單的術語解釋了概率概念對於外行人的意義,然後展開了一段啟發性的旅程,探索機會、隨機性和風險的數學。接著,書中繼續介紹離散概率的基本知識(定義、性質、定理和微積分公式)、組合數學和計數論證,供對支持數學感興趣的讀者參考。對於沒有基本數學背景的讀者,可以跳過這些數學部分,直接跳到“數值結果指南”,以選擇他們所需的賠率和建議,適用於所需的遊戲情境。這樣做是可能的,因為該章節的組織方式使得每個部分的結果都在章節末尾列出,主要以表格的形式呈現。名為“機會遊戲的數學”的章節不僅將這些遊戲視為概率論的良好應用領域,還從人類行為的角度出發,展示了基於概率的策略如何被嘗試以達成有利結果。通過引人入勝的例子,讀者可以看到在機會遊戲中,實驗、事件和概率領域是什麼,以及概率計算在那裡是如何運作的。本書的主要部分是針對每種類型遊戲的概率結果的集合。每個遊戲的部分都充滿了公式和表格。每個部分還包含遊戲的描述、遊戲事件的分類以及適用的概率計算。本書的主要目標是讓讀者能夠快速找到特定遊戲情境的賠率,以改善他們的投注/遊戲決策。每種類型的遊戲事件都以邏輯、一致和全面的方式進行了表格化。完整的方法論和完整或部分計算被展示出來,以教導玩家如何計算任何情況下的概率,適用於任何遊戲的每個階段。在這裡,讀者可以找到由精確數學公式返回的真實賠率,而不是大多數軟體使用的部分模擬。賠率的集合被呈現,並根據這些賠率提供必要的策略建議,適用於每種類型的遊戲情境。本書包含許多新穎且原創的材料,這些材料之前未曾出版,並對以下機會遊戲的概率提供了廣泛的覆蓋:骰子、老虎機、輪盤、百家樂、二十一點、德州撲克、彩票和體育博彩。大多數機會遊戲都傾向於基於概率的決策。這就是為什麼這種方法不是專門的統計方法(像許多其他關於此主題的書籍),而是分析性的:每個遊戲事件都被視為一個獨立的應用概率問題來解決。一個特別的章節定義了基於概率的策略,並數學上展示了為什麼這種策略在理論上是最佳的。