Statistics Hacks: Tips & Tools for Measuring the World and Beating the Odds
暫譯: 統計黑客:測量世界與打破機率的技巧與工具
Bruce Frey
- 出版商: O'Reilly
- 出版日期: 2006-06-13
- 定價: $1,050
- 售價: 8.0 折 $840
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 358
- 裝訂: Paperback
- ISBN: 0596101643
- ISBN-13: 9780596101640
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相關分類:
機率統計學 Probability-and-statistics
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相關翻譯:
Statistics Hacks 統計學駭客 75招 (Statistics Hacks) (繁中版)
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商品描述
Description
Want to calculate the probability that an event will happen? Be able to spot fake data? Prove beyond doubt whether one thing causes another? Or learn to be a better gambler? You can do that and much more with 75 practical and fun hacks packed into Statistics Hacks. These cool tips, tricks, and mind-boggling solutions from the world of statistics, measurement, and research methods will not only amaze and entertain you, but will give you an advantage in several real-world situations-including business.
Want to calculate the probability that an event will happen? Be able to spot fake data? Prove beyond doubt whether one thing causes another? Or learn to be a better gambler? You can do that and much more with 75 practical and fun hacks packed into Statistics Hacks. These cool tips, tricks, and mind-boggling solutions from the world of statistics, measurement, and research methods will not only amaze and entertain you, but will give you an advantage in several real-world situations-including business.
This book is ideal for anyone who likes puzzles, brainteasers, games, gambling, magic tricks, and those who want to apply math and science to everyday circumstances. Several hacks in the first chapter alone-such as the "central limit theorem,", which allows you to know everything by knowing just a little-serve as sound approaches for marketing and other business objectives. Using the tools of inferential statistics, you can understand the way probability works, discover relationships, predict events with uncanny accuracy, and even make a little money with a well-placed wager here and there.
Statistics Hacks presents useful techniques from statistics, educational and psychological measurement, and experimental research to help you solve a variety of problems in business, games, and life. You'll learn how to:
- Play smart when you play Texas Hold 'Em, blackjack, roulette, dice games, or even the lottery
- Design your own winnable bar bets to make money and amaze your friends
- Predict the outcomes of baseball games, know when to "go for two" in football, and anticipate the winners of other sporting events with surprising accuracy
- Demystify amazing coincidences and distinguish the truly random from the only seemingly random--even keep your iPod's "random" shuffle honest
- Spot fraudulent data, detect plagiarism, and break codes
- How to isolate the effects of observation on the thing observed
Whether you're a statistics enthusiast who does calculations in your sleep or a civilian who is entertained by clever solutions to interesting problems, Statistics Hacks has tools to give you an edge over the world's slim odds.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
**描述**
想計算某事件發生的機率嗎?能夠辨識假資料嗎?能否毫無疑問地證明一件事是否導致另一件事?或者學習成為更好的賭徒?你可以透過《Statistics Hacks》中的75個實用且有趣的技巧來做到這些,還有更多!這些來自統計學、測量和研究方法領域的酷炫提示、技巧和令人驚訝的解決方案不僅會讓你驚奇和娛樂,還會在多種現實情境中,包括商業,給你帶來優勢。
這本書非常適合喜歡謎題、腦筋急轉彎、遊戲、賭博、魔術的人,以及那些想將數學和科學應用於日常情況的人。僅在第一章中就有幾個技巧,例如「中心極限定理」,它讓你只需了解一點就能知道一切,這些都是用於行銷和其他商業目標的有效方法。利用推論統計的工具,你可以理解機率的運作方式,發現關係,以驚人的準確性預測事件,甚至在適當的時候賭上一小筆錢來賺取一些收益。
《Statistics Hacks》提供了來自統計學、教育和心理測量以及實驗研究的有用技術,幫助你解決商業、遊戲和生活中的各種問題。你將學會如何:
- 在玩德州撲克、二十一點、輪盤、骰子遊戲或甚至彩票時聰明地下注
- 設計自己的可贏得酒吧賭注來賺錢並驚艷你的朋友
- 預測棒球比賽的結果,知道何時在足球中「進攻兩分」,並以驚人的準確性預測其他體育賽事的獲勝者
- 解密驚人的巧合,區分「真正」隨機與「表面上」隨機的事物,甚至讓你的iPod的「隨機」播放保持誠實
- 辨識欺詐數據、檢測抄襲和破解密碼
- 如何隔離觀察對被觀察事物的影響
無論你是夜以繼日進行計算的統計愛好者,還是被有趣問題的巧妙解決方案所娛樂的普通人,《Statistics Hacks》都提供了讓你在世界的微薄機率中獲得優勢的工具。