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商品描述
The first seven chapters use R for probability simulation and computation, including random number generation, numerical and Monte Carlo integration, and finding limiting distributions of Markov Chains with both discrete and continuous states. Applications include coverage probabilities of binomial confidence intervals, estimation of disease prevalence from screening tests, parallel redundancy for improved reliability of systems, and various kinds of genetic modeling. These initial chapters can be used for a non-Bayesian course in the simulation of applied probability models and Markov Chains. Chapters 8 through 10 give a brief introduction to Bayesian estimation and illustrate the use of Gibbs samplers to find posterior distributions and interval estimates, including some examples in which traditional methods do not give satisfactory results. WinBUGS software is introduced with a detailed explanation of its interface and examples of its use for Gibbs sampling for Bayesian estimation.
No previous experience using R is required. An appendix introduces R, and complete R code is included for almost all computational examples and problems (along with comments and explanations). Noteworthy features of the book are its intuitive approach, presenting ideas with examples from biostatistics, reliability, and other fields; its large number of figures; and its extraordinarily large number of problems (about a third of the pages), ranging from simple drill to presentation of additional topics. Hints and answers are provided for many of the problems. These features make the book ideal for students of statistics at the senior undergraduate and at the beginning graduate levels.
No previous experience using R is required. An appendix introduces R, and complete R code is included for almost all computational examples and problems (along with comments and explanations). Noteworthy features of the book are its intuitive approach, presenting ideas with examples from biostatistics, reliability, and other fields; its large number of figures; and its extraordinarily large number of problems (about a third of the pages), ranging from simple drill to presentation of additional topics. Hints and answers are provided for many of the problems. These features make the book ideal for students of statistics at the senior undergraduate and at the beginning graduate levels.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
前七章使用 R 進行機率模擬和計算,包括隨機數生成、數值和蒙地卡羅積分,以及尋找具有離散和連續狀態的馬可夫鏈的極限分佈。應用範圍包括二項式信賴區間的覆蓋機率、從篩檢測試中估算疾病流行率、為提高系統可靠性而進行的平行冗餘,以及各種基因建模。這些初始章節可用於非貝葉斯課程中,模擬應用機率模型和馬可夫鏈。第八至十章簡要介紹貝葉斯估計,並說明如何使用 Gibbs 取樣器來尋找後驗分佈和區間估計,包括一些傳統方法無法給出滿意結果的例子。書中介紹了 WinBUGS 軟體,並詳細解釋其介面及其在貝葉斯估計中進行 Gibbs 取樣的使用範例。
不需要先前使用 R 的經驗。附錄介紹了 R,幾乎所有計算範例和問題都包含完整的 R 代碼(以及註解和解釋)。本書的顯著特點是其直觀的方法,通過生物統計學、可靠性和其他領域的例子來呈現概念;大量的圖形;以及異常龐大的問題數量(約佔頁數的三分之一),涵蓋從簡單練習到額外主題的呈現。許多問題提供提示和答案。這些特點使本書非常適合高年級本科生和研究生初學者的統計學習。