Microsimulation and Population Dynamics: An Introduction to Modgen 12 (The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis)
暫譯: 微觀模擬與人口動態:Modgen 12 入門(施普林格人口方法與人口分析系列)
Alain Bélanger, Patrick Sabourin
- 出版商: Springer
- 出版日期: 2017-03-23
- 售價: $5,260
- 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $4,997
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 192
- 裝訂: Hardcover
- ISBN: 3319446622
- ISBN-13: 9783319446622
海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)
相關主題
商品描述
This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors' hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches how to create and run a simple cohort model with a single fixed-rate event, and builds upon this concept. It introduces how to develop both a single state life table as well as a multiple increment-decrement life table using the tools provided by Modgen. The authors illustrate how to easily upgrade an existing model by adding new modules and new dimensions as determinants of a risk already modeled. The integration of a fertility module and a base population allows the user to bring new actors into the simulation and transform a cohort-based model into a population-based one. The final addition of an international migration module allows the user to accomplish fully open, multi-regional projections. This accessible introduction will be of interest to researchers and students in population studies and other social sciences. It will also appeal to anyone interested in the computational modeling of population dynamics.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
本書是對人口學中微模擬的實用逐步介紹。它展示了如何使用 Modgen,這是一個由加拿大統計局開發的強大且免費的微模擬平台。作者對模型開發的實作說明將幫助讀者自行創建模型。本書教導如何創建和運行一個具有單一固定事件率的簡單隊列模型,並在此概念的基礎上進行擴展。它介紹了如何使用 Modgen 提供的工具來開發單一狀態生命表以及多重增減生命表。作者說明了如何通過添加新模組和新維度來輕鬆升級現有模型,這些新元素作為已建模風險的決定因素。整合生育模組和基礎人口使得使用者能夠將新角色引入模擬,並將基於隊列的模型轉變為基於人口的模型。最後添加的國際移民模組使得使用者能夠實現完全開放的多區域預測。這本易於理解的入門書籍將吸引人口研究及其他社會科學領域的研究者和學生,也會吸引任何對人口動態的計算建模感興趣的人士。