The Tyranny of Uncertainty: A New Framework to Predict, Remediate and Monitor Risk
暫譯: 不確定性的暴政:預測、緩解與監控風險的新框架

Nabil Abu el Ata, Rudolf Schmandt

  • 出版商: Springer
  • 出版日期: 2016-05-24
  • 售價: $2,420
  • 貴賓價: 9.5$2,299
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 373
  • 裝訂: Hardcover
  • ISBN: 3662491036
  • ISBN-13: 9783662491034
  • 海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)

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商品描述

The authors offer a revolutionary solution to risk management. It’s the unknown risks that keep leaders awake at night―wondering how to prepare for and steer their organization clear from that which they cannot predict. Businesses, governments and regulatory bodies dedicate endless amounts of time and resources to the task of risk management, but every leader knows that the biggest threats will come from some new chain of events or unexpected surprises―none of which will be predicted using conventional wisdom or current risk management technologies and so management will be caught completely off guard when the next crisis hits. By adopting a scientific approach to risk management, we can escape the limited and historical view of experience and statistical based risk management models to expose dynamic complexity risks and prepare for new and never experienced events.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

作者提供了一個革命性的風險管理解決方案。未知的風險讓領導者夜不能寐,思考如何為其組織做好準備,並避免那些無法預測的情況。企業、政府和監管機構在風險管理的任務上投入了無數的時間和資源,但每位領導者都知道,最大的威脅將來自某些新的事件鏈或意外驚喜——這些都無法通過傳統智慧或當前的風險管理技術來預測,因此當下一次危機來臨時,管理層將會完全措手不及。通過採用科學的方法來進行風險管理,我們可以擺脫有限的歷史經驗和基於統計的風險管理模型,揭示動態複雜性風險,並為新的、前所未有的事件做好準備。