21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa

Saritas, Ozcan, Sokolov, Alexander, Cele, Mlungisi

21st Century Foresight: Shaping the Future for Sustainable Social, Economic and Environmental Development in South Africa
  • 出版商: Springer
  • 出版日期: 2025-01-29
  • 售價: $7,030
  • 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $6,679
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 262
  • 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
  • ISBN: 3031695569
  • ISBN-13: 9783031695568

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相關主題

商品描述

Using a new methodology for foresight studies, this book presents new findings and policy recommendations to improve living conditions and make progress toward achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Using the case of South Africa, the respective chapters show how social and economic challenges can be addressed in an inclusive and sustainable way. The book also provides guidelines for practitioners by introducing them to cutting-edge ways of formulating Science, Technology, and Innovation (STI) policies.

The new foresight methodology uses a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, including horizon scanning and scenario planning, as well as big data analysis, scientometric and semantic methods. The innovative approaches developed throughout the book are subsequently demonstrated using a national foresight study in South Africa. The outputs and outcomes generated by the study can be used to inform the identification and selection of priorities for the next decadal plan for STI. The book offers a valuable asset for emerging and developing economies in Africa and around the world in terms of tackling the grand challenges of the 21st century, such as water, food, energy, climate change, health and education.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

本書採用一種新的預測研究方法，提出了改善生活條件和推進可持續發展目標（SDGs）實現的新發現和政策建議。以南非為案例，各章節展示了如何以包容和可持續的方式應對社會和經濟挑戰。本書還為實務工作者提供指導，介紹了制定科學、技術和創新（STI）政策的前沿方法。

這種新的預測方法結合了定性和定量方法，包括地平線掃描、情境規劃，以及大數據分析、科學計量學和語義方法。本書中開發的創新方法隨後通過南非的一項國家預測研究進行了演示。該研究產生的輸出和結果可用於指導下一個十年STI計劃的優先事項識別和選擇。本書對於非洲及全球的新興和發展中經濟體在應對21世紀的重大挑戰（如水、食物、能源、氣候變遷、健康和教育）方面，提供了寶貴的資源。

作者簡介

Ozcan Saritas is a Professor of Innovation and Strategy at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE, Russia). He is the Editor-in-Chief of "Foresight" - the journal of future studies, strategic thinking, and policy (Emerald). With a Ph.D. from the "Foresight and Prospective Studies Program," he introduced the "Systemic Foresight Methodology", and has produced a number of publications on the topic. Besides his research and publication activities, he designs and delivers academic and executive education courses on Foresight and Strategic Planning. He has recently co-authored a book, entitled "Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation" published by Springer, which has become one of the key readings in the field.

Alexander Sokolov is a Professor at the National Research University Higher School of Economics (HSE, Russia) and Deputy Director of the HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge. He is the Deputy Editor-in-Chief of the journal "Foresight and STI Governance" and a Regional Editor of the "Foresight" (Emerald). He is a member of working groups at OECD and other international organizations and is frequently on scientific boards and panels of international scientific conferences.

Mlungisi Cele is a CEO of the National Advisory Council on Innovation (NACI), which is a statutory advisory body to the South African government on Science, Technology, and Innovation (STI) matters. Dr Cele holds a PhD in Higher Education Studies from the University of the Western Cape and an MPhil in Science and Technology Studies from Stellenbosch University. He worked as a researcher at the former University of Durban-Westville (now part of the University of KwaZulu Natal) and the University of the Western Cape. Dr. Cele represents South Africa in various multilateral forums and think-tanks.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

Ozcan Saritas 是俄羅斯國立研究大學高等經濟學院（HSE）的創新與策略教授。他是期刊《Foresight》的主編，該期刊專注於未來研究、策略思考和政策（由 Emerald 出版）。他擁有「未來學與前瞻研究計畫」的博士學位，並提出了「系統前瞻方法論」，在該主題上發表了多篇論文。除了研究和出版活動外，他還設計並提供有關前瞻與策略規劃的學術和高管教育課程。他最近共同撰寫了一本名為《Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation》的書籍，該書由 Springer 出版，已成為該領域的重要讀物之一。

Alexander Sokolov 是俄羅斯國立研究大學高等經濟學院（HSE）的教授，並擔任 HSE 統計研究與知識經濟學院的副院長。他是期刊《Foresight and STI Governance》的副主編，並擔任《Foresight》（由 Emerald 出版）的區域編輯。他是經濟合作與發展組織（OECD）及其他國際組織的工作小組成員，並經常參與國際科學會議的科學委員會和專家小組。

Mlungisi Cele 是南非國家創新諮詢委員會（NACI）的首席執行官，該委員會是南非政府在科學、技術和創新（STI）事務上的法定諮詢機構。Cele 博士擁有西開普大學的高等教育研究博士學位，以及斯坦陵布什大學的科學與技術研究碩士學位。他曾在前德班-韋斯特維爾大學（現為夸祖魯-納塔爾大學的一部分）和西開普大學擔任研究員。Cele 博士代表南非參加各種多邊論壇和智庫。

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