Power Systems Research and Operation: Selected Problems III
暫譯: 電力系統研究與運作:選定問題 III
Kyrylenko, Olexandr, Denysiuk, Serhii, Strzelecki, Ryszard
- 出版商: Springer
- 出版日期: 2024-11-22
- 售價: $7,860
- 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $7,467
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 371
- 裝訂: Quality Paper - also called trade paper
- ISBN: 3031447743
- ISBN-13: 9783031447747
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商品描述
This book covers new technologies and methods related to models for short-term forecasting of electricity imbalances in the IPS of Ukraine, taking into account the impact of forecasts of energy production from renewable sources on the accuracy of the imbalance forecast. The book proposed architecture and mathematical model of an artificial neural network for deep learning forecasting of short-term electricity imbalances using hourly data. Using a model to aggregate data with an hourly resolution followed by forecasting to reduce forecast error, the quasi-dynamic modeling method was used to analyze the impact of periodic generation on the network. The application of quasi-dynamic modeling also allows taking into account the system load curve, generation profile, storage system, as well as renewable energy sources (RES) operation in this area. The use of models makes it possible to achieve realistic estimates of generation for the required period. The book considers a local hybrid renewable energy system (HRES) based on different types of RES, which is more efficient than a system with one type of source.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
本書涵蓋與烏克蘭IPS短期電力不平衡預測模型相關的新技術和方法,考慮到可再生能源生產預測對不平衡預測準確性的影響。本書提出了一種基於人工神經網絡的架構和數學模型,用於使用每小時數據進行深度學習的短期電力不平衡預測。通過使用每小時解析度的數據聚合模型,然後進行預測以減少預測誤差,採用了準動態建模方法來分析周期性發電對網絡的影響。準動態建模的應用還考慮了系統負載曲線、發電特徵、儲能系統以及該區域可再生能源(RES)的運作。使用這些模型使得能夠對所需期間的發電進行現實的估算。本書考慮了一種基於不同類型可再生能源的本地混合可再生能源系統(HRES),其效率高於僅使用一種來源的系統。