Averting Nuclear War

Kyungkook Kang: Kyungkook Kang is Research Specialist of Decision Science at Loma Linda University. He also holds the position of Senior Fellow at the TransResearch Consortium, a nonpartisan think tank dedicated to the systematic analysis of transatlantic policy in the East and West. Kang's primary research focus lies in providing new strategic guidance to detect and deter security threats to U.S. vital interests. His current work aims to enhance the ability of policy leaders to assess the uncertain trajectories and potential turmoil associated with the emerging threats from global power transition. Prior to his affiliation with Loma Linda University, Kang served as Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Central Florida. Kang has also taught at various institutions, including Claremont Graduate University, the University of Southern California, and La Sierra University. He is an expert in positive political economy and the use of decision-theoretic and computational methods employed to study social phenomena. Kang actively shares his research findings with policymakers and research analysts, aiming to bridge the gap between academia and practical implementation. His research interests cover a diverse range of topics within international politics and economics, including the dynamics of inter- and intra-state conflicts, the political economy of macro-economic policy, the U.S. foreign policy in the Asia Pacific region, and the policy of character-based human capital enhancement. Kang's contributions to the field have been published in academic journals such as International Studies Quarterly, Conflict Management and Peace Science, and International Interactions. He has also authored chapters in various books, with one of his notable recent works featured in "The Rise of Regions: Conflict and Cooperation" (2020, Rowman & Littlefield).

Jacek Kugler: Jacek Kugler is the Elisabeth Helm Rosecrans Professor of World Politics at Claremont Graduate University. He is recognized for his instrumental role in co-founding the TransResearch Consortium. Prior to joining Claremont, he held faculty positions at Boston University and Vanderbilt University. He has also taught at numerous other institutions, including Harvard, Caltech, War College, UCLA, and various international universities. He served as the president of the International Studies Association and the Peace Science Society, and he was the past editor of International Interactions. Over the past forty years, Kugler has been extensively involved as a policy consultant for various organizations, including the Intelligence Community, the US Department of State, the US Department of Defense, and the World Bank. He has provided valuable insights and recommendations through over 200 real-time reports, advising policymakers on important issues. Since 1968, Kugler has been deeply engaged in studying the long-term stability of nuclear deterrence under the guidance of Dr. Bernard Brodie. His deterrence work challenges prevailing policy arguments by showing that nuclear deterrence under Mutual Assured Destruction is tenuous and unstable. Kugler has made scholarly contributions across a wide range of topics, including global power transitions, the economic consequences of war, and the political performance of nations. His research has received significant support from organizations such as the Ford Foundation, NSF, USAID, DARPA, and the US Peace Institute. His publications, which include renowned books like "The War Ledger" (1980, University of Chicago Press) and "Power Transitions: Strategies for the 21st Century" (2000, CQ Press), as well as numerous journal articles, have sparked extensive debates and discussions within the field of international relations. In recognition of his research contributions, he has been honored with numerous lifetime awards.

Kyungkook Kang：Kyungkook Kang 是洛馬林達大學決策科學的研究專家。他同時擔任跨研究聯盟的高級研究員，該聯盟是一個致力於系統性分析東西方跨大西洋政策的非黨派智庫。Kang 的主要研究重點在於提供新的戰略指導，以偵測和阻止對美國重要利益的安全威脅。他目前的工作旨在增強政策領導者評估與全球權力轉移相關的新興威脅所帶來的不確定性和潛在動盪的能力。在加入洛馬林達大學之前，Kang 曾擔任中央佛羅里達大學的政治學助理教授。他還在多所機構教授過課程，包括克萊蒙研究生大學、南加州大學和拉西埃拉大學。他是正向政治經濟學的專家，並使用決策理論和計算方法來研究社會現象。Kang 積極與政策制定者和研究分析師分享他的研究成果，旨在縮短學術界與實務應用之間的距離。他的研究興趣涵蓋國際政治和經濟中的多樣主題，包括國內和國際衝突的動態、宏觀經濟政策的政治經濟學、美國在亞太地區的外交政策，以及基於特質的人力資本增強政策。Kang 在學術期刊上發表的貢獻包括《國際研究季刊》、《衝突管理與和平科學》和《國際互動》。他還在多本書籍中撰寫章節，其中一部最近的著作在《地區的崛起：衝突與合作》（2020年，Rowman & Littlefield）中亮相。

Jacek Kugler：Jacek Kugler 是克萊蒙研究生大學的伊莉莎白·赫爾姆·羅斯克蘭斯世界政治教授。他因共同創立跨研究聯盟而受到認可。在加入克萊蒙之前，他曾在波士頓大學和范德堡大學擔任教職。他還在哈佛、加州理工學院、戰爭學院、加州大學洛杉磯分校及多所國際大學教授過課程。他曾擔任國際研究協會和和平科學學會的會長，並曾擔任《國際互動》的編輯。在過去四十年中，Kugler 作為政策顧問廣泛參與各種組織的工作，包括情報界、美國國務院、美國國防部和世界銀行。他通過超過200份即時報告提供了寶貴的見解和建議，為政策制定者就重要議題提供建議。自1968年以來，Kugler 在伯納德·布羅迪博士的指導下，深入研究核威懾的長期穩定性。他的威懾研究挑戰了現行政策論點，顯示在相互保證毀滅下的核威懾是脆弱和不穩定的。Kugler 在全球權力轉移、戰爭的經濟後果和國家的政治表現等多個主題上做出了學術貢獻。他的研究得到了福特基金會、國家科學基金會、美國國際開發署、國防高級研究計劃局和美國和平研究所等組織的重大支持。他的出版物包括《戰爭賬本》（1980年，芝加哥大學出版社）和《權力轉移：21世紀的策略》（2000年，CQ出版社）等著名書籍，以及多篇期刊文章，這些作品在國際關係領域引發了廣泛的辯論和討論。因其研究貢獻，他獲得了多項終身成就獎。