Cross-Impact Balances (Cib) for Scenario Analysis: Fundamentals and Implementation

Weimer-Jehle, Wolfgang

  • 出版商: Springer
  • 出版日期: 2024-05-04
  • 售價: $5,710
  • 貴賓價: 9.5$5,425
  • 語言: 英文
  • 頁數: 272
  • 裝訂: Quality Paper - also called trade paper
  • ISBN: 3031272323
  • ISBN-13: 9783031272325
  • 海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)

相關主題

商品描述

Cross-Impact Balances (CIB) is a method frequently used for research, in companies and in administrations for the systematic construction of qualitative scenarios. This book introduces the fundamentals of the method and uses a clear step-by-step example to explain how scenarios can be constructed with CIB. It describes possible problems in applying the method and offers help for various use cases. It includes a detailed discussion of the design decisions that shape a CIB application and the methods that can be used to collect the necessary data. The application examples presented provide a first impression of the possibilities of the method. A discussion of the strengths and limitations of the method offers guidance on the use cases in which CIB can be profitably applied. The book is valuable for researchers and practitioners in the field of scenario analysis.

商品描述(中文翻譯)

「交叉影響平衡(Cross-Impact Balances,簡稱CIB)」是一種常用於研究、企業和行政機構的方法,用於系統性地構建定性情境。本書介紹了該方法的基本原理,並通過清晰的逐步示例解釋了如何使用CIB構建情境。它描述了應用該方法可能遇到的問題,並提供了各種使用案例的幫助。書中詳細討論了塑造CIB應用的設計決策和收集必要數據的方法。所呈現的應用示例提供了該方法的可能性的初步印象。對該方法的優勢和限制進行的討論提供了在哪些使用案例中可以有利地應用CIB的指導。本書對情境分析領域的研究人員和從業人員具有價值。

作者簡介

Dr. Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle is head of the CIB-Lab at the Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Studies (ZIRIUS) at the University of Stuttgart, Germany. He has been researching and lecturing in the field of scenario methodology for more than 25 years and is the originator of the Cross-Impact Balances (CIB) method, which is meanwhile an internationally established and widely used method for the creation of qualitative scenarios on energy, water, health, and other areas. Dr. Weimer-Jehle has developed the ScenarioWizard software, which is today the standard tool for applying the CIB method.

作者簡介(中文翻譯)

德國斯圖加特大學跨學科風險與創新研究中心(ZIRIUS)的CIB-Lab主任Dr. Wolfgang Weimer-Jehle,已在情境方法學領域進行研究和講授超過25年。他是交互影響平衡(CIB)方法的創始人,該方法已成為國際上廣泛使用的創建能源、水資源、健康等領域定性情境的標準方法。Dr. Weimer-Jehle還開發了ScenarioWizard軟體,該軟體是應用CIB方法的標準工具。