The Digital Revolution
暫譯: 數位革命
Bob Merritt
- 出版商: Morgan & Claypool
- 出版日期: 2016-02-29
- 售價: $1,620
- 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $1,539
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 110
- 裝訂: Paperback
- ISBN: 1627058567
- ISBN-13: 9781627058568
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商品描述
As technologists, we are constantly exploring and pushing the limits of our own disciplines, and we accept the notion that the efficiencies of new technologies are advancing at a very rapid rate. However, we rarely have time to contemplate the broader impact of these technologies as they impact and amplify adjacent technology disciplines. This book therefore focuses on the potential impact of those technologies, but it is not intended as a technical manuscript. In this book, we consider our progress and current position %toward on arbitrary popular concepts of future scenarios rather than the typical measurements of cycles per second or milliwatts. We compare our current human cultural situation to other past historic events as we anticipate the future social impact of rapidly accelerating technologies. We also rely on measurements based on specific events highlighting the breadth of the impact of accelerating semiconductor technologies rather than the specific rate of advance of any particular semiconductor technology. These measurements certainly lack the mathematic precision and repeatability to which technologists are accustomed, but the material that we are dealing with-the social objectives and future political structures of humanity-does not permit a high degree of mathematic accuracy. Our conclusion draws from the concept of Singularity. It seems certain that at the rate at which our technologies are advancing, we will exceed the ability of our post‒Industrial Revolution structures to absorb these new challenges, and we cannot accurately anticipate what those future social structures will resemble.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
作為技術專家,我們不斷探索並推動自己學科的極限,並接受新技術效率以非常快速的速度進步的觀念。然而,我們很少有時間去思考這些技術對相鄰技術學科的更廣泛影響。 因此,本書專注於這些技術的潛在影響,但並不打算作為一本技術手稿。在本書中,我們考慮我們的進展和當前位置,針對未來情境的任意流行概念,而不是典型的每秒循環次數或毫瓦的測量。我們將當前的人類文化情況與其他過去的歷史事件進行比較,因為我們預測快速加速技術的未來社會影響。我們還依賴基於特定事件的測量,突顯加速半導體技術影響的廣度,而不是任何特定半導體技術的具體進展速度。這些測量無疑缺乏技術專家所習慣的數學精確性和可重複性,但我們所處理的材料——人類的社會目標和未來政治結構——並不允許高程度的數學準確性。我們的結論源自奇點的概念。看起來可以肯定的是,隨著我們技術的進步速度,我們將超越後工業革命結構吸收這些新挑戰的能力,而我們無法準確預測未來的社會結構將會是什麼樣子。