Evaluating Climate Change Impacts
暫譯: 評估氣候變遷影響
Lyubchich, Vyacheslav, Gel, Yulia, Kilbourne, K. Halimeda
- 出版商: CRC
- 出版日期: 2020-10-07
- 售價: $6,190
- 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $5,881
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 394
- 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
- ISBN: 0815392370
- ISBN-13: 9780815392378
海外代購書籍(需單獨結帳)
商品描述
Evaluating Climate Change Impacts discusses assessing and quantifying climate change and its impacts from a multi-faceted perspective of ecosystem, social, and infrastructure resilience, given through a lens of statistics and data science. It provides a multi-disciplinary view on the implications of climate variability and shows how the new data science paradigm can help us to mitigate climate-induced risk and to enhance climate adaptation strategies.
This book consists of chapters solicited from leading topical experts and presents their perspectives on climate change effects in two general areas: natural ecosystems and socio-economic impacts. The chapters unveil topics of atmospheric circulation, climate modeling, and long-term prediction; approach the problems of increasing frequency of extreme events, sea level rise, and forest fires, as well as economic losses, analysis of climate impacts for insurance, agriculture, fisheries, and electric and transport infrastructures. The reader will be exposed to the current research using a variety of methods from physical modeling, statistics, and machine learning, including the global circulation models (GCM) and ocean models, statistical generalized additive models (GAM) and generalized linear models (GLM), state space and graphical models, causality networks, Bayesian ensembles, a variety of index methods and statistical tests, and machine learning methods. The reader will learn about data from various sources, including GCM and ocean model outputs, satellite observations, and data collected by different agencies and research units. Many of the chapters provide references to open source software R and Python code that are available for implementing the methods.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
評估氣候變遷影響 探討從生態系統、社會和基礎設施韌性的多面向角度來評估和量化氣候變遷及其影響,並透過統計和數據科學的視角來呈現。它提供了對氣候變異性影響的多學科觀點,並展示了新的數據科學範式如何幫助我們減輕氣候引起的風險並增強氣候適應策略。
本書包含來自領先主題專家的章節,並呈現他們對氣候變遷影響的看法,主要集中在兩個一般領域:自然生態系統和社會經濟影響。這些章節揭示了大氣環流、氣候建模和長期預測的主題;探討極端事件頻率增加、海平面上升和森林火災等問題,以及經濟損失、氣候影響分析在保險、農業、漁業和電力及交通基礎設施中的應用。讀者將接觸到當前的研究,使用各種方法,包括物理建模、統計學和機器學習,涵蓋全球環流模型(GCM)和海洋模型、統計廣義加法模型(GAM)和廣義線性模型(GLM)、狀態空間和圖形模型、因果網絡、貝葉斯集成、各種指數方法和統計檢驗,以及機器學習方法。讀者將了解來自各種來源的數據,包括GCM和海洋模型輸出、衛星觀測以及不同機構和研究單位收集的數據。許多章節提供了開源軟體R和Python代碼的參考,這些代碼可用於實施這些方法。
作者簡介
The book is an interdisciplinary initiative of statisticians, climatologists, ecologists and oceanographers whose research addresses development and implementation of analytical methodology for assessing climate change impacts. The team includes statisticians V. Lyubchich and Y. R. Gel (statistical and machine learning methods for quantification of the climate-induced risk), climatologist K. H. Kilbourne (paleoclimatology, geochemistry, assessment of the causes of climate variability), fisheries scientist T. J. Miller (effects of ocean acidification on blue crab, recruitment issues in menhaden and striped bass), disaster expert A. B. Smith (analysis of economic and societal impacts of extreme events and natural hazards), and research scientist in food-water-energy nexus N. K. Newlands (sustainability, precision agriculture and risk analysis using machine learning and integrated modeling).
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
這本書是由統計學家、氣候學家、生態學家和海洋學家所組成的跨學科計畫,旨在研究開發和實施分析方法,以評估氣候變遷的影響。團隊成員包括統計學家 V. Lyubchich 和 Y. R. Gel(用於量化氣候引起的風險的統計和機器學習方法)、氣候學家 K. H. Kilbourne(古氣候學、地球化學、氣候變異原因的評估)、漁業科學家 T. J. Miller(海洋酸化對藍蟹的影響、關於鯡魚和條紋鱸魚的補充問題)、災害專家 A. B. Smith(極端事件和自然災害的經濟和社會影響分析),以及專注於食物-水-能源聯結的研究科學家 N. K. Newlands(可持續性、精準農業及利用機器學習和綜合建模進行風險分析)。