The Age of Prediction: Algorithms, Ai, and the Shifting Shadows of Risk (Hardcover)
暫譯: 預測的時代：演算法、人工智慧與風險的變遷陰影 (精裝版)
Tulchinsky, Igor, Mason, Christopher E.
- 出版商: Summit Valley Press
- 出版日期: 2023-08-22
- 售價: $1,180
- 貴賓價: 9.5 折 $1,121
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 232
- 裝訂: Hardcover - also called cloth, retail trade, or trade
- ISBN: 026204773X
- ISBN-13: 9780262047739
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相關分類:
Algorithms-data-structures
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商品描述
The power of the ever-increasing tools and algorithms for prediction and their paradoxical effects on risk.
The Age of Prediction is about two powerful, and symbiotic, trends: the rapid development and use of artificial intelligence and big data to enhance prediction, as well as the often paradoxical effects of these better predictions on our understanding of risk and the ways we live. Beginning with dramatic advances in quantitative investing and precision medicine, this book explores how predictive technology is quietly reshaping our world in fundamental ways, from crime fighting and warfare to monitoring individual health and elections.
As prediction grows more robust, it also alters the nature of the accompanying risk, setting up unintended and unexpected consequences. The Age of Prediction details how predictive certainties can bring about complacency or even an increase in risks--genomic analysis might lead to unhealthier lifestyles or a GPS might encourage less attentive driving. With greater predictability also comes a degree of mystery, and the authors ask how narrower risks might affect markets, insurance, or risk tolerance generally. Can we ever reduce risk to zero? Should we even try? This book lays an intriguing groundwork for answering these fundamental questions and maps out the latest tools and technologies that power these projections into the future, sometimes using novel, cross-disciplinary tools to map out cancer growth, people's medical risks, and stock dynamics.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
不斷增長的預測工具和算法的力量及其對風險的矛盾影響。
預測的時代探討了兩個強大且相互依存的趨勢：人工智慧和大數據的快速發展與應用，以增強預測能力，以及這些更準確的預測對我們理解風險和生活方式的矛盾影響。本書從量化投資和精準醫療的劇烈進展開始，探討預測技術如何在根本上靜靜地重塑我們的世界，從打擊犯罪和戰爭到監測個人健康和選舉。
隨著預測變得更加穩健，它也改變了伴隨的風險性質，導致意想不到和意外的後果。預測的時代詳細說明了預測的確定性如何可能帶來自滿，甚至增加風險——基因組分析可能導致不健康的生活方式，或是 GPS 可能促使駕駛者不夠專注。隨著可預測性增強，也伴隨著一定程度的神秘感，作者探討了更狹隘的風險可能如何影響市場、保險或一般的風險承受能力。我們能否將風險降低到零？我們應該嘗試嗎？本書為回答這些基本問題奠定了引人入勝的基礎，並描繪出驅動這些未來預測的最新工具和技術，有時使用新穎的跨學科工具來描繪癌症增長、個人的醫療風險和股票動態。
作者簡介
Igor Tulchinsky is founder, chairman, and CEO of WorldQuant, a quantitative investment firm based in Old Greenwich, Connecticut. He is the author of Finding Alphas: A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies and The UnRules: Man, Machines and the Quest to Master Markets.
Christopher E. Mason is Professor of Genomics, Physiology, and Biophysics at Weill Cornell Medicine and the Director of the WorldQuant Initiative for Quantitative Prediction. He also holds affiliate appointments at the New York Genome Center, Yale Law School, and the Consortium for Space Genetics at Harvard Medical School. Dr. Mason is the author of The Next 500 Years: Engineering Life to Reach New Worlds.
作者簡介(中文翻譯)
伊戈爾·圖爾欽斯基（Igor Tulchinsky）是位於康乃狄克州老格林威治的量化投資公司WorldQuant的創始人、董事長及首席執行官。他是《Finding Alphas: A Quantitative Approach to Building Trading Strategies》和《The UnRules: Man, Machines and the Quest to Master Markets》的作者。
克里斯多福·E·梅森（Christopher E. Mason）是威爾康奈爾醫學院的基因組學、生理學和生物物理學教授，也是WorldQuant量化預測計畫的主任。他還在紐約基因組中心、耶魯法學院和哈佛醫學院的太空基因組聯盟擔任附屬職位。梅森博士是《The Next 500 Years: Engineering Life to Reach New Worlds》的作者。
