A Vast Machine: Computer Models, Climate Data, and the Politics of Global Warming (Hardcover)
暫譯: 龐大的機器:電腦模型、氣候數據與全球暖化的政治
Paul N. Edwards
- 出版商: MIT
- 出版日期: 2010-03-12
- 售價: $1,200
- 貴賓價: 9.8 折 $1,176
- 語言: 英文
- 頁數: 552
- 裝訂: Hardcover
- ISBN: 0262013924
- ISBN-13: 9780262013925
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相關分類:
大數據 Big-data、雲端運算
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商品描述
Global warming skeptics often fall back on the argument that the scientific case for global warming is all model predictions, nothing but simulation; they warn us that we need to wait for real data, "sound science." In A Vast Machine Paul Edwards has news for these skeptics: without models, there are no data. Today, no collection of signals or observations—even from satellites, which can "see" the whole planet with a single instrument—becomes global in time and space without passing through a series of data models. Everything we know about the world's climate we know through models. Edwards offers an engaging and innovative history of how scientists learned to understand the atmosphere—to measure it, trace its past, and model its future.
Edwards argues that all our knowledge about climate change comes from three kinds of computer models: simulation models of weather and climate; reanalysis models, which recreate climate history from historical weather data; and data models, used to combine and adjust measurements from many different sources. Meteorology creates knowledge through an infrastructure (weather stations and other data platforms) that covers the whole world, making global data. This infrastructure generates information so vast in quantity and so diverse in quality and form that it can be understood only by computer analysis—making data global. Edwards describes the science behind the scientific consensus on climate change, arguing that over the years data and models have converged to create a stable, reliable, and trustworthy basis for establishing the reality of global warming.
Edwards argues that all our knowledge about climate change comes from three kinds of computer models: simulation models of weather and climate; reanalysis models, which recreate climate history from historical weather data; and data models, used to combine and adjust measurements from many different sources. Meteorology creates knowledge through an infrastructure (weather stations and other data platforms) that covers the whole world, making global data. This infrastructure generates information so vast in quantity and so diverse in quality and form that it can be understood only by computer analysis—making data global. Edwards describes the science behind the scientific consensus on climate change, arguing that over the years data and models have converged to create a stable, reliable, and trustworthy basis for establishing the reality of global warming.
商品描述(中文翻譯)
全球暖化懷疑論者常常依賴這樣的論點:全球暖化的科學依據全是模型預測,僅僅是模擬;他們警告我們需要等待真實數據,即「可靠的科學」。在《A Vast Machine》中,保羅·愛德華茲(Paul Edwards)對這些懷疑者提出了新觀點:沒有模型,就沒有數據。如今,無論是來自衛星的信號或觀測資料,這些資料即使能夠用單一儀器「看到」整個星球,也無法在時間和空間上成為全球性的,除非經過一系列數據模型的處理。我們對世界氣候的所有了解,都是透過模型得來的。愛德華茲提供了一個引人入勝且創新的歷史,講述科學家們如何學會理解大氣——測量它、追溯它的過去,並模擬它的未來。
愛德華茲主張,我們對氣候變遷的所有知識來自三種電腦模型:氣象和氣候的模擬模型;重分析模型,這些模型從歷史氣象數據中重建氣候歷史;以及數據模型,用於結合和調整來自不同來源的測量數據。氣象學透過一個覆蓋整個世界的基礎設施(氣象站和其他數據平台)來創造知識,從而生成全球數據。這個基礎設施產生的信息在數量上是如此龐大,在質量和形式上是如此多樣,以至於只能通過電腦分析來理解——使數據成為全球性的。愛德華茲描述了科學共識背後的科學,主張隨著時間的推移,數據和模型已經趨於一致,為確立全球暖化的現實創造了一個穩定、可靠且值得信賴的基礎。